MLB Baseball Betting: San Diego Padres at Toronto Blue Jays

After a disappointing weekend series against the Seattle Mariners the Toronto Blue Jays have now won two straight (pending the outcome of Tuesday’s game which was tied 4-4 in the 14th at the time of writing). They’re in prime position to move up in the AL East and particularly if the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox cool off from their recent torrid pace. The Orioles still lead the AL East with a 2 game lead over the Red Sox and a 2.5 game lead over the Blue Jays. Toronto is 4.5 games up on the New York Yankees who have been playing well lately (7-3 L10).

San Diego is trying to stay out of last place in the NL West. They’ve lost 6 of 10 but they’re getting some help from the Arizona Diamondbacks who have lost 7 of 10. Currently, the Padres are 1.5 games up on the Diamondbacks and 5 games back of the third place Colorado Rockies. That’s probably their most optimistic target in the division–it’s unlikely that they’ll be able to make a run at the top two teams in the division unless something dramatic happens.

Marco Estrada gets the call for Toronto and he’s been something of an enigma this season. He’s put up good numbers on the season but the Blue Jays haven’t been able to win games when he starts. Overall, Estrada has a 2.94 ERA and a 1.006 WHIP. At home, he’s got a 2.50 ERA with a 0.936 WHIP but the Jays are just 9-8 overall when he starts and 5-4 at the Rogers Centre. They’ve also lost 2 of his last 3 starts with Estrada putting up a 4.24 ERA and a 1.176 WHIP. The loss in his previous start wasn’t really his fault–he pitched well enough to win holding Seattle to 7 hits and 2 ER in 6 innings of work but the Jays only managed a single run.

Luis Perdomo gets the start for San Diego and he’s the opposite extreme from Estrada–his numbers are mediocre but the Padres have won when he’s on the mound. San Diego is 6-3 in his 9 starts overall, 4-2 in his road starts and 2-1 in his last three starts. He’s got a 5.55 ERA overall with a 1.574 WHIP, a 4.78 ERA with a 1.531 WHIP on the road and a 3.57 ERA with a 1.302 WHIP in his last three.

Big difference is the teams’ offensive output against right handed pitching. San Diego hits .230 and averages 3.9 runs per game against RHP while Toronto hits .261 and averages 5.4 runs per game against right handers.

BET TORONTO BLUE JAYS -250 OVER SAN DIEGO PADRES