MLB Baseball Betting: Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros

The Toronto Blue Jays’ stay in first place in the AL East was short lived–for now at least. They managed a 2-1 win over Houston on Tuesday but with the Baltimore Orioles beating Texas the Jays remain in second place one game out of first. The Boston Red Sox are 1.5 games out of first in third place but are up 3-0 on the Seattle Mariners midway through their Tuesday night game. Toronto has won 6 of 10 and will try to pick up another win on Wednesday as they play the third game of their four game series with the Houston Astros. The Astros are in second place in the AL West 5.5 games back of the division leading Texas Rangers and 3 games ahead of the third place Seattle Mariners. They’ve lost 6 of 10 while the Rangers have won 7 of 10 so they desperately need wins to get back into the hunt.

The Blue Jays will start right hander Marco Estrada who has been decent though not exactly spectacular this season. The Jays have won 10 of his 18 starts overall, split 8 road starts and have gone 2-1 in his last 3 starts. Estrada has a 3.02 ERA overall with a 1.014 WHIP, a 3.42 ERA and a 1.082 WHIP on the road and a 4.24 ERA and a 1.176 WHIP in his last three games. He does have 16 strikeouts to just 3 walks in his previous three outings. Houston hits right handed pitching fairly well averaging 4.8 runs per game and hitting .252. They’re 42-31 +4 units on the season against right handed starters.

Houston will counter with right hander Collin McHugh who has a strange line–his numbers aren’t especially good but the Astros have won when he takes the mound. McHugh has a 4.75 ERA overall with a 1.496 WHIP, a 4.20 ERA at home with a 1.446 WHIP and a 6.58 ERA with a 1.756 WHIP in his last three starts. Houston is 13-8 in his 21 starts overall, 8-3 in his 11 home starts and 2-1 in his last 3 starts.

Houston has manhandled the Jays at home over the past three seasons–Tuesday’s win was only Toronto’s second win in their last ten games at Houston. That being said, they’ve got a good chance to improve upon that total in Wednesday’s matchup. Toronto clobbers right handed pitching averaging 5.3 runs per game and are 45-31 +5.3 units against them this year. McHugh’s W/L record is great and all but those stats will catch up with him eventually.

BET TORONTO BLUE JAYS +110 OVER HOUSTON ASTROS