MLB Baseball Betting: San Diego Padres at Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Baseball Betting:  San Diego Padres at Toronto Blue Jays&h=235&w=320&zc=1

The Toronto Blue Jays managed to salvage a win out of their weekend series against the Seattle Mariners on Sunday but will be right back in action on Monday as they host the San Diego Padres in a three game Interleague series. The Padres have struggled this year in just about every situation and they’re trying to avoid slipping into last place in the NL East. San Diego is 41-57 overall with a 20-31 record on the road (-2.3 units). They did take 2 of 3 from the NL East leading Washington Nationals over the weekend and have split their last 10 games. The Blue Jays dropped 2 of 3 to Seattle over the weekend but are still keeping pace with the top teams in the AL East. Heading into Monday’s action, Baltimore leads the American League East by 1.5 games over the Boston Red Sox and 3 games over the Blue Jays. Boston is currently the hottest team in the division having won 7 of 10.

San Diego will start Colin Rea and he’s got something of a strange line this season. His numbers suggest that he’d have lost a lot of games for his team but the Padres have a winning record when he starts. Overall, they’re 10-7 +8.5 units when he takes the ball including 5-2 +5.7 units on the road and 2-1 +1.4 units in his last three. His stat line doesn’t suggest that at all–he’s got a 4.87 ERA and a 1.440 WHIP overall, a 5.11 ERA and a 1.730 WHIP on the raod and a 4.86 ERA with a 1.620 WHIP in his last three games.

Toronto’s Aaron Sanchez also has a somewhat puzzling line. Overall, he’s been good this year with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.181 WHIP. His personal record is 10-1 but the Jays are 12-7 in his starts. They’ve won 5 of 8 at home but his ERA is a mediocre at best 4.07 with a 1.356 WHIP. He’s looked very good in his last three with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP with the Jays winning 2 of his 3 games.

Given the Padres’ pluck on the road this season this price sure looks too high. Toronto has shown they can’t be trusted when stepping down in class and as they proved against Washington over the weekend you can’t take San Diego lightly regardless of their record.


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